What the 2025 U.S. Election Could Mean for Federal Cannabis Legalization

As the 2025 U.S. presidential election season heats up, one issue is generating more attention than ever: federal cannabis legalization. While individual states have been making strides for over a decade, marijuana remains illegal at the federal level — creating tension between state and federal law, and confusion for businesses and consumers alike.

cannabis law

Could the outcome of this election finally push legalization across the finish line? Here’s what we know so far, what’s at stake, and why 2025 might be a turning point for cannabis policy in the United States.

The Current State of Cannabis Laws in the U.S.

As of mid-2025, 24 states have legalized cannabis for recreational use, while a total of 38 states allow some form of medical cannabis. However, marijuana is still classified as a Schedule I controlled substance under federal law — the same category as heroin and LSD. That means even in states where it’s legal, cannabis businesses operate under tight banking restrictions, face tax complications, and risk federal interference.

This gap between state and federal law has created uncertainty and uneven access across the country. And with public support for legalization at an all-time high (nearly 70%, according to recent polls), pressure is mounting on federal lawmakers to act.

Where the Major Political Parties Stand

Cannabis policy has become less of a partisan issue than it once was, but the 2025 election could still hinge on which party controls Congress and the White House.

  • Democratic candidates have generally expressed support for legalization or at least for decriminalization and expungement of past convictions. Some have proposed rescheduling cannabis or introducing federal regulatory frameworks.

  • Republican positions vary more widely. While some conservatives support states’ rights to choose their own cannabis policies, others remain opposed to full legalization due to concerns about health, youth access, or drug misuse.

Key swing states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Wisconsin — where cannabis laws are still evolving — could also shape the outcome and tone of national debates.

What Could Change After the Election?

If pro-legalization candidates gain control of Congress and the presidency, there are several possible pathways to reform:

  • Rescheduling or descheduling cannabis at the federal level

  • Passing the SAFE Banking Act, allowing cannabis businesses to use traditional banking services

  • Comprehensive legalization bills, which would regulate cannabis similarly to alcohol

  • Federal tax reform specific to cannabis businesses

  • Criminal justice legislation, including the expungement of cannabis-related offenses

Even a modest shift in the political balance could unlock progress on these fronts.

Challenges That Remain

Despite growing support, full legalization is far from guaranteed. Some lawmakers remain hesitant, especially in states without medical or recreational programs. Lobbying pressure from law enforcement and pharmaceutical groups also plays a role in slowing reform efforts.

Additionally, questions remain about how federal legalization would impact state markets, interstate commerce, and product standards. These issues will likely be central to legislative debates in 2025 and beyond.

Why 2025 Matters So Much

This election cycle could redefine cannabis policy in the U.S. for the next decade. With bipartisan voter support, evolving public attitudes, and increasing pressure from both the cannabis industry and social justice advocates, the conversation is no longer if cannabis will be legalized federally — but when and how.

For cannabis consumers, entrepreneurs, and advocates, keeping a close eye on the 2025 race is more important than ever.